OKBET Betting Odds & Prediction: New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF – MLS Cup Playoffs Round 1
On October 17, New York City FC will face Inter Miami CF in the first round of the MLS Cup Playoffs at Citi Field. It all starts at 7:00 p.m. ET in Queens.
NYCFC enters this game on a four-game winning streak, which has propelled them to fourth place in the Eastern Conference. Miami also closed the regular season well, winning four of their last five games to finish sixth in the Eastern Conference.
Odds for New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| New York City FC | -160 |
| Inter Miami CF | +420 |
| Draw | +290 |
OKBET Sportsbook odds as of October 17. To wager on match just visit OKBET and enjoy various promotions below.
NYC are the odds-on favorites to win at -160, with a 62% estimated victory probability. Inter Miami is classified as an outsider at +420, with a victory probability of only 19%. The draw after 90 minutes is a hefty +290.
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Over/Under and Spread
In terms of overall goals, Caesars is split, with over 2.5 goals recorded at -125 and under 2.5 goals reported at -105.
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Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC
NYFC’s MLS championship defense was on the verge of fizzling out in the second part of the regular season until they played Atlas – winners of Liga MX’s Campeón de Campeones – in the Campeones Cup in mid-September. They had been on a terrible run with only one win in 10 games before to the encounter, but the 2-0 victory over their Mexican opponents rejuvenated their season.
Following their Campeones Cup victory, Nick Cushing’s team won three consecutive MLS games – their final three of the regular season – and finished third in the Eastern Conference.
NYCFC has a good home form
During the regular season, NYCFC won 10 games at home, ranking second in the Eastern Conference, with two of those victories coming at Citi Field in Queens, where tonight’s game will be played. On the other hand, the last time they played a playoff game there, they fell 2-1 to Toronto in 2019.
During the regular season, NYCFC defeated Miami 2-0 at home (at Yankee Stadium), but were defeated 3-2 in Florida.
Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC Stats Against Each Other
| New York City FC | vs | Inter Miami CF |
| 16-11-7 | Regular season record | 14-14-6 |
| 57 / 41 | Goals for / Goals against | 47 / 56 |
| 482 / 179 | Shots / Shots on target | 379 / 147 |
| 83.6 | Successful passes (%) | 82.3 |
| 80 / 2 | Yellow / Red cards | 68 / 5 |
| 3rd | Final conference position | 6th |
| L-D-L-W-W-W | MLS Form guide | L-W-W-W-W-L |
Neville’s Men provide a strong season finale
Miami’s season ignited just as it appeared their hopes of making the playoffs were dimming. After a catastrophic start in which they went winless in five games, they steadied the ship with 10 victories in their next 24 games, but they were still in the middle of the conference when the regular season came to a close.
Four victories in their final five games, though, were enough to secure Phil Neville’s squad a playoff spot after finishing sixth, but just two points ahead of the eighth-placed Columbus Crew, who lost out.
Miami must improve its defensive play
Miami has only made the playoffs once before, in 2020, when they were eliminated in the first round by Nashville, but in order to advance further, they will need to defend better than they did during the regular season. A goal difference of minus nine and 56 goals surrendered is not indicative of a championship-caliber club.
Team Lineups and Injuries for New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF
Johnson, Callens, Chanot, Martins, Gray, Acevedo, Parks, Rodriguez, Moralez, Pereira, and Magno are projected to start for NYCFC.
Morales suffers from injuries and absences.
Miami’s projected starting lineup is as follows: Callender, Yedlin, Lowe, Mabika, McVey, Duke, Mota, Gregore, Taylor, Lassiter, and Higuain.
Jean, Fray, Campana, and Robinson all out with injuries.
Pick: New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF
It’s difficult to look past the home win here because, throughout the course of the season, NYCFC have simply shown to be the superior team, with the extra incentive of defending their MLS crown.
Miami will fight hard, but their defensive frailties may expose them. While the straight home victory does not appear to be good value, the 2-0 at +650 might.
Picks: New York City FC (-160) / New York City FC 2-0 (+650).
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